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Stimulus package creates uncertainty
It will “set our economy on a firmer foundation,” President Barack Obama said Tuesday while signing the $787 billion American Recovery and Reinvestment Act into law.
We all wish those words were true and that could be the end of the story.
However, here’s the million—wait, make that billion—dollar question most everyone can’t get out of their heads: will the stimulus package really work?
With the economy in its current state, there is no question that something needs to be done.
Opponents
of the stimulus package say it will run the nation’s debt sky-high—yet
these same people usually cite making tax cuts from former President
George W. Bush’s days a permanent solution.
While it
is difficult to believe tax cuts will save the economy—for example,
when former President Ronald Reagan signed tax cuts into law during his
presidency, the national debt more than tripled—I also find it
impossible to think about the future, and how college students will be
stuck paying for everything.
Even
before any new spending, the federal deficit is expected to top $1.2
trillion this year. Just to give an idea of how big that number really
is, Andrew Dilnot, an economist at Oxford University and author of “The
Numbers Game” divided government spending by the number of citizens and
the number of weeks in a year.
With this formula, a $700 billion bailout equaled $45 per week for each American man, woman and child.
The book goes a step further and says per day, it would equal approximately $6.
Would everyone be happy paying $6 per day for a healthy financial system?
“There
is no doubt that the cost of this plan will be considerable. It will
certainly add to the budget deficit in the short term,” Obama said when
he signed the act. “But equally certain are the consequences of doing
too little or nothing at all.”
This is
what makes the recovery act such a hot topic—many people agree
something needs to be done to stimulate the economy, but these same
people also have their doubts about a bill centered around $787 billion
being the appropriate action to take.
Even with this much money being spent, it will all mean nothing if it is not spent wisely.
To avoid
the failures already experienced by the first financial sector bailout,
money could be reserved for the states or communities who face the most
drastic situation. Along the same line, should money not be given to
those individuals who cannot afford to save it?
In a real stimulus, the economy will only be boosted if the money is being spent instead of saved.
While
one of Obama’s priorities with the stimulus plan is speed in creating
and keeping jobs, change in the system will only happen when Washington
puts their spending priorities and processes in line—no money without
reform.
With the
history of previous years still fresh in our minds, it seems difficult
to believe the recovery act will be a complete success.
No one
can predict the future, but if we somehow manage to pull ourselves out
of the recession within the next two years, skeptics of the recovery
act will most likely say it would have ended regardless of the $787
billion. However, if the economy troubles linger, the opposite side
will probably say the package prevented a bigger disaster from
happening.
With
questions surrounding the issues of job creation, investments and
consumer confidence, the only certain thing about the stimulus plan is
the fact that we will be paying for it for a long, long time.
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